The Effect of NBA Attendance on Teams’ Performance

Authors

  • Chenzhao Wang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61173/7bfxp829

Keywords:

Attendance, Regression Model, Strength Coefficient, Covid, Bradley-Terry Model

Abstract

This paper analyzed how attendance in the NBA during the COVID-19 pandemic, specifically, in the 2020-2021 seasons, affected team performance. To answer this question, we used team data of all 30 teams from 2015 to 2022, and attendance data for the 2020-2021 season; we separated team attendance into three levels: Full (or almost full), Partial, and Empty. We used logistic models and the Bradley-Terry Model to analyze each team’s strength coefficient (compared to one baseline team) using the Win/Loss data as the determining factor. Our result showed a slight advantage for home teams when audiences were present. However, results revealed that home court advantage became less evident when there was partial or no audiences.

References

[1] Wikipedia, 2024, 2020 NBA Bubble. www.en.wikipedia.org/ wiki/2020_NBA_Bubble

[2] Metcalfe, C. (2013). NBA Star Power: Impact on Attendance. Fisher Digital Publications. Sport Management Undergraduate. Paper 88. St. John Fisher University. https://fisherpub.sjf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1089&context=sport_undergrad

[3] Humphreys, B. R., & Johnson, C. (2020). The effect of superstars on game attendance: evidence from the NBA. Journal of Sports Economics, 21(2), 152-175. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002519885441

[4] La, V. (2014). Home team advantage in the NBA: The effect of fan attendance on performance. MPRA Paper ID 54579. Dartmouth College. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/54579/

[5] Sports Reference LLC. Basketball Reference. www. basketball-reference.com/leagues/

[6] Wikipedia, 2024, Bradley-Terry Model. www.en.wikipedia. org/wiki/Bradley%E2%80%93Terry_model

[7] Sports Reference LLC. Basketball Reference. www. basketball-reference.com/teams/WAS/2016.html

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Published

2024-08-14