The Advancements and Applications of Machine Learning in Predicting Football Scores

Authors

  • Boqiu Zhang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61173/53msgg79

Keywords:

Football score prediction, sport, machine learning

Abstract

Football stands as one of the world's most popular sports, where match prediction significantly contributes to its development and enhances its economic and cultural value. This calls for a comprehensive review of the technology used to predict football scores. The study first examines three traditional machine learning methods with simple single-layer architectures. While these methods are straightforward to understand, they suffer from limitations such as low accuracy and slow computational speed, rendering them less advantageous for practical applications. Subsequently, this paper explores four deep learning approaches, whose multi-layered structures outperform traditional methods in model capacity, learning efficiency, and computational power. Consequently, deep learning has become a primary direction for both current and future research in football scoring prediction. However, these approaches face challenges including generalization, accuracy, and explainability. To address these challenges, this paper proposes adversarial domain adaptation techniques to tackle generalization challenges. The introduction of high-dimensional dynamic feature data enhances accuracy. By integrating models, their respective strengths are leveraged to resolve interpretability challenges, while presenting optimistic prospects for deep learning applications in football scoring prediction. This article provides a comprehensive review of machine learning in football score prediction, which is conducive to readers' in-depth and comprehensive understanding of this field, and provides readers with reference for subsequent independent exploration and innovation.

References

[1] Danisik N, Lacko P, Farkas M. Football match prediction using players attributes. 2018 World Symposium on Digital Intelligence for Systems and Machines (DISA), IEEE, 2018.

[2] Alves R. SCORE: A convolutional approach for football event forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 2025.

[3] Kinalioğlu İH, Kuş C. Prediction of football match results by using artificial intelligence-based methods and proposal of hybrid methods. International Journal of Nonlinear Analysis and Applications, 2023, 14(1): 2939-2969.

[4] Rodrigues F, Pinto Â. Prediction of football match results with machine learning. Procedia Computer Science, 2022, 204: 463-470.

[5] Alfredo YF, Isa SM. Football match prediction with tree based model classification. International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications, 2019, 11(7): 20-28.

[6] TeliShinde P, et al. Prediction of football match score and decision making process.

[7] Herath SD, Manivannan S. Predicting the outcome of football matches using convolutional neural network.

[8] Awadallah AA, Khandelwal R. Football match prediction using deep learning (recurrent neural network), 2020: 3-4.

[9] Wang L, et al. Player-team heterogeneous interaction graph transformer for soccer outcome prediction. Proceedings of the 31st ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, V. 2, 2025.

[10] Vaswani A, et al. An autoencoder based approach to simulate sports games. International Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics, Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2020.

[11] Bandara I, et al. Predicting goal probabilities with improved xG models using event sequences in association football. PLoS One, 2024, 19(10): e0312278.

[12] Meng F, Gong X, Zhang Y. RHL-track: Visual object tracking based on recurrent historical localization. Neural Computing and Applications, 2023, 35(17): 12611-12625.

Downloads

Published

2025-10-23